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In the 1990's, the Government of Egypt launched an Economic Reform Program, which was designed to be carried out in several phases. The first one had focused on stabilizing the economy, improving public finance and exchange rate policies and stabilizing inflation. The second phase targeted the trade and investment issues,  private sector reform and banking sector restructuring. These reforms have been achieved through policy changes and through educational and other measures aiming at the improvement of economic and social welfare.

Macroeconomic outlook and key economic trends

Economic reform program:

Egypt's economic performance and reform program in the 1990s gained the appreciation of  international observers due to the increase of the growth, the reduction of inflation and the budget deficit. Egypt has a well-diversified economy, with no single sector participating more than 21%  GDP. Such a solid economic base has reduced the negative effect of the external shocks in 1997-98: terrorist attacks, oil price collapse, Southeast Asian economic crisis, and in 2001 (September 11).

Private investments exceeded 80% of total investments in Egypt during 1999, reflecting the government's keenness  to facilitate private sector participation. Public private partnership is one of the most important priorities of the new government, as the government encourages the private sector to invest in non-traditional areas especially in financial services and infrastructure.

Privatization: Egypt started its public enterprise reform program in 1991 with the launch of Law 203 for the year 1991. The program included several areas of reform mainly the sale of public assets and shares, as well as the restructuring of companies as long as they remain with the state, comprising technical, financial and labor restructuring. The results of implementing the program so far yielded as of July 2005 more than LE 26 billion in revenues from total and partial sales through 247 transactions, besides the optional early retirement of more than 205,000 workers, and the comprehensive debt settlement agreement currently being finalized between the Ministry of Investment, Ministry of Finance and creditor banks for the debt owed by remaining companies (under law 203) amounting to LE 36 billion (as of 2004). The attraction from countries all over the world contributed positively to the flow of FDI to the country through the asset management program, apart from other positive effects like stimulating the stock market.

Economic and Financial Indicators

 

1.     Real Economy Indicators:

 
 

2004/2005

2003/2004

2002/2003

2001/2002

2000/2001

Real Economy

536

485

418

379

359

GDP at Market Price  (LE Billions)

427

407

391

379

320

Real GDP at Market Price

5.1

4.1

3

3.2

3.4

Real GDP Growth Rate (%)

62.3

62.2

64.9

65.4

70.7

Private Sector Share in GDP (%)

2.9

2.1

1.2

1.1

1.4

Real GDP Growth Rate % (Per Capita)

--

9.5

7.1

2.4

2.4

Average Annual Inflation Rate (%)

--

13.5

4

2.7

2.2

End of Period Annual Inflation Rate (%)

 

 

 

2.     Structure of Domestic Debt (million USD)

 

 

2004/2005

2003/2004

2002/2003

2001/2002

2000/2001

Structure of Domestic Debt

396338

332785

291380

262365

236464

Total Public Debt

349162

292721

252185

221224

194810

1. Government

340898

272074

208592

165907

133545

Securities

143744

134325

123939

113786

101126

Government Borrowing  from NIB

135480

113678

80346

58469

39861

Credit Balances with Banking Sector (-)

47176

40064

39195

41141

41654

2. Public Economic Authorities

0.92

0.9

0.89

0.87

0.81

Public Debt / GDP  (%)

0.63

0.6

0.6

0.58

0.54

Government Claims / GDP  (%)

 

 
 

3.       Public Finance Indicators
 

 

 

2004/2005

2003/2004

2002/2003

2001/2002

2000/2001

 

103738

99665

86484

78968

76139

Total Revenues
million LE

(19.3)

(20.5)

(20.7)

(20.9)

(21.2)

 

151569

128324

111913

101153

96121

Total Expenditure
million LE

(28.3)

(26.5)

(26.8)

(26.7)

(26.8)

 

-47831

-28659

-25429

-22185

-19982

Total deficit
million LE

(-8.9)

(-5.9)

(-6.1)

(-5.9)

(-5.6)

 

 
 

Numbers between brackets are % of GDP
 

 
 

4.     Balance of Payments  (Million USD)
 

 
 

2004/2005

2003/2004

2002/2003

2001/2002

2000/2001

Current Account

-10376

-7834

-6615

-7517

-9363

Trade Balance

13816

10453

8205

7121

7078

Exports Proceeds

5276

3910

3161

2381

2632

    Petroleum

8539

6542

5045

4740

4446

    Non Oil Exports

-24192

-18286

-14820

-14637

-16441

Imports Payments

-20217

7318

4949

3878

5588

Services (net)

-2534

-516

-1666

-3638

-3776

Balance of Goods & Services

5427

3934

3609

4252

3742

Transfers

1056

888

664

1144

769

   Official (net)

4371

3046

2946

3109

2973

   Private (net) of which

2893

3418

1943

614